Big 12 championship scenarios, explained: How Texas Tech, BYU, others can reach 2025 title game

Big 12 championship scenarios, explained: How Texas Tech, BYU, others can reach 2025 title game originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.

The Big 12 championship picture is much more straight forward than the other Power 4 conferences heading into Rivalry Week.

Four teams still have a chance to reach the Big 12 championship game at AT&T Stadium on Dec. 6. No. 7 Texas Tech (10-1, 7-1)  and No. 11 BYU (10–1, 7-1) appear to be on a collision course for a rematch from their regular-season matchup on Nov. 8. No. 14 Utah (9-2 6-2) and Arizona State (8-3, 6-2) are still in the hunt with one week left to play.

There are seven potential scenarios for the Big 12 championship game – which can be seen on the conference's official website. Here is how each team can advance to the Big 12 championship game.

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Big 12 championship scenarios 2025

Four teams are still in the Big 12 championship game picture. A look at their paths to the conference championship game:

Texas Tech (10-1, 7-1)

- Texas Tech clinches a spot in the Big 12 championship game with a win against West Virginia.

- The Red Raiders also would clinch a Big 12 championship berth with an Arizona State loss to Arizona. Texas Tech has head-to-head victories against BYU and Utah, which could come into play at that point.

- Texas Tech's opponents have a .486 cumulative conference winning percentage; the lowest among the four Big 12 contenders.

BYU (10-1, 7-1)

- BYU clinches a spot in the Big 12 championship game with a win against UCF.

- The Cougars also would clinch a Big 12 championship berth with an Arizona State loss to Arizona.

- BYU also would clinch a spot in the Big 12 championship game with a Texas Tech loss to West Virginia AND an Arizona State win against Arizona AND a Utah win against Kansas. BYU would have the advantage in a three-way tie with Arizona State and Utah. In that scenario, BYU and Utah would play for the Big 12 championship.

- BYU's opponents have a .500 cumulative conference winning percentage; which ranks third among  the four Big 12 contenders.

Utah (9-2, 6-2)

- Utah has a complex path to the Big 12 championship game. The Utes need a win against Kansas AND a Texas Tech loss against West Virginia AND a BYU win against UCF AND an Arizona State win against Arizona. In that scenario, BYU and Utah will play in the Big 12 championship game.

- Utah's opponents have a .528 cumulative conference winning percentage, which is the highest among the Big 12 contenders

Arizona State (8-3, 6-2)

- Arizona State would advance to the Big 12 championship with a win against Arizona AND a BYU loss to UCF AND a Utah loss to Kansas.

- Arizona State also would advance with a win against Arizona AND a Texas Tech loss to West Virginia AND a BYU loss to UCF AND a Utah win against Kansas. A four-way tie would benefit the Sun Devils.

- Arizona State also can advance with a win against Arizona AND a Texas Tech loss to West Virginia AND a Utah loss to Kansas AND a BYU win against UCF.

- Arizona State's opponents have a .514 cumulative conference winning percentage, which ranks second among the Big 12 contenders.

Big 12 tiebreaker rules for 2025

The Big 12 will use six these tie-breakers for the 2024 season in this order until the tie is broken:

Step 1: Head-to-head competition among the teams.

Step 2: Win percentage against all common conference opponents among the tied teams.

Step 3: Win percentage against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on the record in all games played within the Conference), proceeding through the standings

Step 4: Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents, or the strength-of-conference schedule.

Step 5: Total number of wins in a 12-game season

Step 6: Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games

Step 7: Coin toss.

Big 12 common opponents tracker for 2025

Here is a look at the common opponents for all the Big 12 teams in the conference championship hunt. We added the cumulative conference winning percentage – the fourth Big 12 tiebreaker – to show which teams are in the best position heading into Rivalry Week:

OPPONENT

TTECH

BYU

UTAH

ASU

Arizona

-

W 33-27

-

Nov. 28

Arizona State

L 26-22

-

W 42-10

-

Baylor

-

-

W 55-28

W 27-24

BYU

W 29-7

-

L 24-21

-

Cincinnati

-

W 26-14

W 45-14

-

Colorado

-

W 24-21

W 53-7

W 42-17

Houston

W 35-11

-

-

L 24-16

Iowa State

-

W 41-27

-

W 24-19

Kansas

W 42-17

-

Nov. 28

-

Kansas State

W 43-20

-

W 51-47

-

Oklahoma State

W 42-0

-

-

-

TCU

-

W 44-13

-

W 27-24

Texas Tech

L 29-7

L 34-10

W 26-22

UCF

W 48-9

Nov. 29

-

-

Utah

W 34-10

W 24-21

-

L 42-10

West Virginia

Nov. 29

W 38-24

W 48-14

W 25-23

RECORD

35-37

36-36

38-34

37-35

%

.486

.500

.528

.514